I see two major possibilities in NIFTY50 from Elliott Wave perspective, marked in red and blue.
As per blue counts, B of ABC down was done at 24857.75 and we are in C down. The down-move in C so far was corrective W (internally WXYXZ, or triple zigzag) so the bounce this week should be X. X has already retraced more than 50%, though less than 61.8%, so there is a possibility this X is complete and wave Y down within larger wave C will unfold next week. Having said that, X may not be over and might do 61.8% or more so that leaves some more room on the upside followed by Y down.
On the other hand, as per red counts, we are still in wave B of ABC down. 61.8% of the A is around 25125 so B might make an attempt towards or beyond that level. Once that’s done, C should unfold on the downside.
Bigger picture is that, C down is still pending (or already in progress as per blue count) in both scenarios. If we break the low of 23460 then blue wave counts would likely play out. But if we break this week’s high of 23226.70 then either blue or red counts could be in play as per the upside levels mentioned in both cases.
It’s a wait and watch situation and hopefully next week will provide some decisive insight.
